Red Storm seek upset in Steel City

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/27/2007 - Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The St. John's Red Storm are coming off a big-time win over a league opponent, and they will attempt to score a Big East upset on the road today against the ninth-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers.

St. John's has recorded back-to-back wins to move to 12-8 overall and 3-4 in league play. After beating Syracuse last weekend, the Red Storm came up with a thrilling 71-68 triumph over nationally-ranked Notre Dame on Tuesday. Still, it has to be mentioned that the squad is just 1-3 in true road games.

Pittsburgh has won eight of its last nine games to move to 18-3 overall and 6-1 in conference action. The Panthers recorded a 67-51 decision over Cincinnati on Wednesday, and of the three losses the team has suffered this season, two have come in overtime. While St. John's has struggled on the road, Pitt is a stellar 12-1 at home.

St. John's owns a 33-16 lead in the all-time series with Pittsburgh, and the Red Storm won last season's meeting by a 55-50 final.

St. John's got a tremendous effort from Lamont Hamilton in the win over Notre Dame on Tuesday, as he scored 23 points and pulled down 12 rebounds to lead all players in both categories. Teammate Eugene Lawrence finished with 13 points and seven assists, but he did commit 10 of the team's 19 turnovers. The third and final double-digit scorer in the victory was Larry Wright, as he finished with 11 points. The Red Storm limited the Fighting Irish to 35.5 percent shooting from the floor, and the strong defense was clearly the key to the team's success. Hamilton is averaging 13.5 ppg and 7.2 rpg this season, and Avery Patterson checks in with 11.9 ppg. As for Anthony Mason, he is contributing 11.0 ppg. Lawrence has dished out 105 assists and also leads the club with 36 steals.

Pittsburgh is scoring 74.2 ppg this season on 49.7 percent shooting from the floor, including 40.8 percent from three-point range. Defensively, the Panthers are limiting foes to 62.0 ppg on 40.2 percent shooting while outrebounding team by six boards per outing. Aaron Gray continues to lead Pitt with 14.8 ppg and 10.2 rpg, and he has blocked 34 shots as well while shooting 57.9 percent from the field. Mike Cook is a steady contributor who adds 11.4 ppg to the lineup, and Antonio Graves checks in with 10.3 ppg. The Panthers have featured the same starting lineup in all 21 games, an obvious key to their success. Levance Fields scored 18 points to lead Pitt in the recent win over Cincinnati, while Ronald Ramon and Sam Young tallied 10 points each. The Panthers connected on 60.5 percent of their field goal attempts in that contest, including a 12-of-19 showing from three-point range.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

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In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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